Crypto market remains under pressure following the Fed’s decision and weak inflows into ETFs

19.06.2026    16:16

The cryptocurrency market is ending the week on a cautious note: Bitcoin is holding steady near $62,500–63,000, Ethereum is around $1,700, and the total market capitalization remains in the range of $2.15–2.24 trillion.

Following the sell-off in early June, the market is attempting to stabilize, though a confident recovery has not yet materialized. The main source of pressure remains shifting expectations regarding the U.S. Federal Reserve’s monetary policy. The Fed kept its policy rate in the 3.50–3.75% range but sent a more hawkish signal to the market: some market participants now anticipate a rate hike by the end of the year. This is a negative backdrop for the crypto market, as Bitcoin and other digital assets are traditionally sensitive to expectations regarding liquidity and the cost of money.

Bitcoin remained within a narrow range this week following attempts to rebound. According to current data, it is trading at around $62,600, with the intraday low dropping to $62,300. Ethereum fell to $1,690 and remains weaker than Bitcoin in terms of market structure. Pressure on altcoins persists as investors favor more liquid assets and avoid elevated risk.

The total market capitalization of the crypto market, according to aggregators, stands at around $2.15–2.24 trillion. Bitcoin’s market share remains high—around 56–58%—indicating that a protective bias persists within the crypto market itself. Investors are not completely exiting digital assets but are focusing on the largest cryptocurrency and stablecoins.

ETF flows created additional pressure. According to VanEck’s estimates, in the first half of June, Bitcoin’s 30-day average price fell to approximately $70,300, and U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded about $5 billion in net outflows during 19 out of 22 trading sessions. After that, signs of stabilization emerged: on June 12, spot Bitcoin ETFs showed a net inflow of about $85.8 million, and on June 16, about $10 million. However, these volumes are not yet sufficient to indicate a full-fledged recovery in institutional demand.

Ethereum’s weakness is also linked to less stable demand for spot ETH ETFs. Last week, certain trading days saw outflows from Ethereum ETFs, while demand for Bitcoin funds began to gradually recover after a series of heavy outflows. This widens the gap between Bitcoin and the rest of the market.

The Fear and Greed Index for the crypto market remains in the “extreme fear” zone. This means that, following June’s sell-off, market participants are not yet ready to actively build up their positions. The market is reacting more to macroeconomic signals than to internal industry news.

The geopolitical backdrop this week was mixed. On the one hand, the agreements between the U.S. and Iran and expectations of a resumption of traffic through the Strait of Hormuz eased pressure on the oil market and supported overall risk appetite. On the other hand, uncertainty regarding the sustainability of these agreements, sanctions policy, and the Fed’s next moves is holding investors back from aggressively buying cryptocurrencies.

For Bitcoin, the nearest technical levels remain the $60,000–$62,000 range as support and the $65,000–$67,000 range as resistance. A sustained move above this range could improve the short-term outlook, but without a resumption of capital inflows via ETFs and a more dovish signal from the Fed, the market may remain range-bound.

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