Parliamentary election campaigning kicks off today

Parliamentary election campaigning kicks off today



30 липня 2012 года
Конкорд Капитал

Today is the first official day of campaigning for the October 28 parliamentary election in Ukraine. The election will be the first since a new law was signed into effect in December 2011 that made three important changes to the election system: (1) returns to a dual mandate system that was used in 1998 and 2002 – 225 seats will be elected by party lists and the other 225 seats will be elected by simple-majority constituencies, (2) raises the threshold for one party to win seats in parliament from 3% to 5% of the overall vote, (3) and bans different political parties from participating in elections as a single bloc.

Recent political party support survey
---------------------------------
Party June 2012
---------------------------------
Party of Regions (Azarov) 27.6%
Fatherland (Tymoshenko)* 25.6%
Udar (Klitschko) 9.5%
Communists (Symonenko) 7.1%
---------------------------------
Total opposition 35.1%
Total pro-presidential 34.7%
------------------------------------------
* Opposition includes Fatherland (Tymoshenko Bloc + Front of Changes) and Udar; Pro-presidential includes the Party of Regions and Communists. The survey was conducted May 23-June 1 with 2,042 respondents. Margin of error ±2.3%.
Source: Razumkov Center

Brad Wells: All of the major political parties have in fact already been preparing for months. We expect a particularly hard-fought and difficult campaign season. Though the opposition parties are ahead in opinion surveys, according to our projections, the Party of Regions is likely to maintain a majority in parliament after the election on the strength of its power base in Ukraine’s most populated regions (as 50% of seats will be assigned by voting in constituencies).

Источник: Конкорд Капитал

Аналитик: Бред Вэллс
Другая макроэкономика от Конкорд Капитал


Компании

все компании